Miami at Cincinnati
One of these teams is 3-0, the other is 1-2. That much I expected, but I apparently got the teams wrong. Miami has been good, lucky, and opportunistic in compiling their undefeated record. Cincinnati looked like absolute crap the first two weeks, but looked much better in Week 3 against the Jets -- take that however you want it.
Picking games thus far has been an absolute minefield. I do believe that Miami is probably not as good as their record, and that Cincy is better than theirs. I also know that Miami is banged-up a bit on both sides of the ball, and that they are playing a Thursday Night game after their defense just played around 40 MINUTES in that stifling Miami heat against Buffalo. Cincy, meanwhile, had a much easier time in their game this past Sunday.
With home field, and a potent offense that is just waiting to break out, I expect Cincy to score a lot against what must be a tired Miami defense. To this end, I would like to see the team use RB Joe Mixon more.
Miami 23, Cincinnati 33